2012年12月29日星期六

including the Sea of Oman.

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TEHRAN, Iran (AP) — Iran's state TV is reporting the country's navy has begun maneuvers in the area of the Strait of Hormuz, where one-fifth of the world's oil passes.

It says the maneuvers began early Friday, involving warships, submarines jet fighters and hovercrafts.

The drills come as the West increases its pressure over Iran's nuclear program. The West suspects it may be aimed at producing nuclear weapons, a charge Iran denies.

Iran has threatened to close the straits over Western sanctions but has not repeated the threats lately.

The report says Iran warned ships to stay away from the site until Jan. 3. The maneuvers cover nearly 1 million sq. kilometers (400,000 sq. miles) from the Strait of Hormuz to northern part of Indian Ocean, including the Sea of Oman.

but it was overturned by a statewide referendum three years ago

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PORTLAND, Maine (AP) — Chris Kast and Byron Bartlett already consider themselves married after a 2010 ceremony overlooking Portland Harbor, but now they're doing it all over again — planning to be among the first to get a marriage license now that Maine's same-sex marriage law has taken effect.

Portland City Hall opened at midnight to issue the first marriage licenses under the new law. There were free carnation boutonnieres, and a jazz trio played.

Voters approved gay marriage in November, making Maine and two other states the first to do so by popular vote. The law is already in effect in Washington state; Maryland's takes effect on Tuesday, the first day of 2013.

Gay marriage was already legal in New York, Connecticut, Iowa, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Vermont and the District of Columbia, but those laws were either enacted by lawmakers or through court rulings.

Kast and Bartlett were among about a dozen couples waiting in line at Portland City Hall. With their four daughters home for the holidays, the couple decided they would wed on the spot after getting their marriage license. They didn't see the need for another big ceremony.

"This is putting a period on an important sentence for us," said Kast, 52, who has been with Bartlett, 42, for more than six years. "We're going to finish it, and put it behind us."

The Maine Legislature had once approved same-sex marriage, but it was overturned by a statewide referendum three years ago, crushing couples who had already made wedding plans. Gay marriage supporters collected signatures to put it on the ballot again, and this time it was easily approved.

Gov. Paul LePage signed off on the certified election results on Nov. 29, so the new law was to go into effect 30 days from that date. In addition to gay marriage becoming legal, same-sex marriages in other states will now be recognized by the state of Maine.

Nobody knew exactly how many couples would be rushing to get their marriage licenses early Saturday. Falmouth joined Portland in opening at midnight. A handful of other communities including Bangor, Brunswick and Augusta planned to hold special Saturday hours.

Suzanne Blackburn and Joanie Kunian, of Portland, were among those in line to get their license at midnight, but they didn't plan to wed immediately. One of their grandchildren wanted them to get married on Valentine's Day.

"I don't think that we dared to dream too big until we had the governor's signature," Blackburn said. "That's why it's so important, because it feels real."

___

Follow David Sharp on Twitter at http://twitter.com/David_Sharp_AP

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Click here to listen to this podcast

When autumn rolls around, the leaf peepers come out in force. Armed with digital cameras, they record the most spectacular displays of fall foliage. Well according to a study in the journal Functional Ecology [Toshie Mizunuma et al, The relationship between carbon dioxide uptake and canopy colour from two camera systems in a deciduous forest in southern England], those images may be more than just pretty pictures. They may represent a new way to monitor climate change.

Trees take carbon dioxide, or CO2, from the atmosphere and convert it into biomass. By sopping up CO2 they help to stabilize the climate. But at the same time, they’re also affected by climate, for example, budding earlier in the season as global temperatures rise.

To understand how all this balances out, ecologists monitor how forests take up CO2. It’s a costly business that involves using a network of 500 instrument towers worldwide. So researchers got to wondering whether there might be an easier way to keep an eye on photosynthesis. And they found that digital cameras do the trick.

Analyzing two years’ worth of snaps taken every half hour in a forest in southern England, the researchers discovered that a tree’s leafy colors provide a good proxy for its photosynthetic productivity. So next time you go for a walk in the woods, take only photos. And leave only data points.

—Karen Hopkin

[The above text is a transcript of this podcast]

Follow Scientific American on Twitter @SciAm and @SciamBlogs.

Visit ScientificAmerican.com for the latest in science, health and technology news.

© 2012 ScientificAmerican.com. All rights reserved.

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    LITTLE ROCK, Ark. (AP) — A cold rain fell across Arkansas on Friday, washing away some of the Christmas Day ice and snow that knocked out power to 194,000 customers — including businesses that rely on post-holiday sales — of the state's largest electric utility.

    Entergy Arkansas said it had completed about 40 percent of its repairs by Friday, but that just under 100,000 were still without electricity. The pace of repairs has slowed, the utility said, because crews are going into areas with more significant damage.

    Many in Little Rock, Hot Springs and Malvern won't have their lights and heat back until Tuesday — longer in areas with the most difficult repairs. The forecast for Little Rock for Friday night was a low of 26 degrees, with a chance of freezing rain.

    Hugh McDonald, president and CEO of Entergy Arkansas, acknowledged customers' growing dissatisfaction at a Friday news conference, but said another 1,000 linemen and support workers were coming from out of state, which means a total of 5,000 utility workers would be on the job by Saturday.

    McDonald said he wished he would have had more workers on the ground earlier, and blamed forecasters for not indicating until just before the storm hit that central Arkansas would bear the brunt.

    "Clearly we'd like to be farther along," McDonald said.

    Little Rock, once projected to get 3-6 inches of snow, ended up with 10.3 inches, preceded by a coating of freezing rain and followed by gusty winds that tore down limbs, trees, power lines and utility poles.

    McDonald said the publicly traded company, which serves 700,000 customers, relies on the National Weather Service for forecast information. After the news conference, Entergy spokeswoman Julie Munsell said in an email that Entergy has numerous resources for obtaining weather information, including use of Impact Weather, a commercial weather service out of Houston.

    McDonald said Entergy hadn't estimated the cost of the restoration, but guessed it'd be "in the tens of millions of dollars." McDonald also defended Entergy's $15 million tree-trimming program, which came under criticism after back-to-back ice storms in 2000 did similar damage to the grid.

    The storm system, which worked its way east after Christmas, has been blamed for at least 16 deaths. The National Weather Service said Friday that the storm spawned more than a dozen tornadoes in southern Alabama.

    The Arkansas outages are hurting area businesses, said Little Rock Regional Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Jay Chesshir. People are taking care of their homes and trying to stay warm, not going out shopping — not that they could at closed businesses, he said.

    "This time of year with folks ... looking for retail opportunities during a time of year when many things go on sale, it will be difficult to make up completely but it certainly can be lessened when the power returns and people are in the mood to buy," Chesshir said.

    He noted that places that sell perishable goods, such as grocery stores, have had to throw away a tremendous amount of stock.

    But Arkansas Department of Finance and Administration Director Richard Weiss said he expects no overall impact to state tax revenues, even though the storm hit during a busy shopping season.

    "People are going to go out and redeem their cards, go out and shop and do stuff. If they don't do it now, I think that they will do it in the next month or so," Weiss said.

    He noted that the storm missed the economic engine of northwest Arkansas and that many affected businesses have insurance to cover certain losses, so that should keep business tax revenues stable.

    Outside a Little Rock grocery store, Connie Ratcliff used a cane for balance as she unloaded groceries in the cold rain Friday. She said she hasn't had electricity — or hot food — since Tuesday.

    "First hot coffee since Christmas, too," Ratliff said, hoisting a foam cup in the air as she got into her car.

  • Ebony is published by Chicago-based Johnson Publishing Co.

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    CHICAGO (AP) — Terry Glover, the managing editor of Ebony magazine, has died of colon cancer at her Chicago home. She was 57.

    Ebony announced on its website that Glover died on Monday. Her husband, Kendall Glover, tells the Chicago Tribune that his wife had been fighting cancer for about two years.

    Terry Glover joined Ebony in 2006 and was appointed managing editor in 2009 after serving as a senior editor for the website for three years.

    Editor-in-Chief Amy DuBois Barnett says Glover was "the heart and soul" of the magazine's team and will be missed.

    Ebony is published by Chicago-based Johnson Publishing Co.

    Johnson Publishing Chairwoman Linda Johnson Rice says Glover was passionate about her work and made innumerable contributions to Ebony.

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    WASHINGTON - Retired Gen. H. Norman Schwarzkopf, who topped an illustrious military career by commanding the U.S.-led international coalition that drove Saddam Hussein's forces out of Kuwait in 1991 but kept a low public profile in controversies over the second Gulf War against Iraq, has died. He was 78.

    A sister of Schwarzkopf, Ruth Barenbaum of Middlebury, Vermont, said Thursday that he died in Tampa, Florida, from complications from pneumonia. "We're still in a state of shock," she said by phone. "This was a surprise to us all."

    A much-decorated combat soldier in Vietnam, Schwarzkopf was known popularly as "Stormin' Norman" for a notoriously explosive temper.

    He served in his last military assignment in Tampa as commander-in-chief of U.S. Central Command, the headquarters responsible for U.S. military and security concerns in nearly 20 countries from the eastern Mediterranean and Africa to Pakistan.

    Schwarzkopf became "CINC-Centcom" in 1988 and when Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait three years later to punish it for allegedly stealing Iraqi oil reserves, he commanded Operation Desert Storm, the coalition of some 30 countries organized by President George H.W. Bush that succeeded in driving the Iraqis out.

    "Gen. Norm Schwarzkopf, to me, epitomized the 'duty, service, country' creed that has defended our freedom and seen this great nation through our most trying international crises," Bush said in a statement. "More than that, he was a good and decent man — and a dear friend."

    At the peak of his postwar national celebrity, Schwarzkopf — a self-proclaimed political independent — rejected suggestions that he run for office, and remained far more private than other generals, although he did serve briefly as a military commentator for NBC.

    While focused primarily in his later years on charitable enterprises, he campaigned for President George W. Bush in 2000 but was ambivalent about the 2003 invasion of Iraq, saying he doubted victory would be as easy as the White House and Pentagon predicted. In early 2003 he told the Washington Post the outcome was an unknown:

    "What is postwar Iraq going to look like, with the Kurds and the Sunnis and the Shiites? That's a huge question, to my mind. It really should be part of the overall campaign plan," he said.

    Initially Schwarzkopf had endorsed the invasion, saying he was convinced that former Secretary of State Colin Powell had given the United Nations powerful evidence of Iraqi weapons of mass destruction. After that proved false, he said decisions to go to war should depend on what U.N. weapons inspectors found.

    He seldom spoke up during the conflict, but in late 2004, he sharply criticized then-Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and the Pentagon for mistakes that included inadequate training for Army reservists sent to Iraq and for erroneous judgments about Iraq.

    "In the final analysis I think we are behind schedule. ... I don't think we counted on it turning into jihad (holy war)," he said in an NBC interview.

    Schwarzkopf was born Aug. 24, 1934, in Trenton, New Jersey, where his father, Col. H. Norman Schwarzkopf Jr., founder and commander of the New Jersey State Police, was then leading the investigation of the Lindbergh kidnap case, which ended with the arrest and 1936 execution of German-born carpenter Richard Hauptmann for stealing and murdering the famed aviator's infant son.

    The elder Schwarzkopf was named Herbert, but when the son was asked what his "H'' stood for, he would reply, "H." Although reputed to be short-tempered with aides and subordinates, he was a friendly, talkative and even jovial figure who didn't like "Stormin' Norman" and preferred to be known as "the Bear," a sobriquet given him by troops.

    He also was outspoken at times, including when he described Gen. William Westmoreland, the U.S. commander in Vietnam, as "a horse's ass" in an Associated Press interview.

    As a teenager Norman accompanied his father to Iran, where the elder Schwarzkopf trained the country's national police force and was an adviser to Reza Pahlavi, the young Shah of Iran.

    Young Norman studied there and in Switzerland, Germany and Italy, then followed in his father's footsteps to West Point, graduating in 1956 with an engineering degree. After stints in the U.S. and abroad, he earned a master's degree in engineering at the University of Southern California and later taught missile engineering at West Point.

    In 1966 he volunteered for Vietnam and served two tours, first as a U.S. adviser to South Vietnamese paratroops and later as a battalion commander in the U.S. Army's Americal Division. He earned three Silver Stars for valour — including one for saving troops from a minefield — plus a Bronze Star, a Purple Heart and three Distinguished Service Medals.

    While many career officers left military service embittered by Vietnam, Schwarzkopf was among those who opted to stay and help rebuild the tattered Army into a potent, modernized all-volunteer force.

    After Saddam invaded Kuwait in August 1990, Schwarzkopf played a key diplomatic role by helping to persuade Saudi Arabia's King Fahd to allow U.S. and other foreign troops to deploy on Saudi territory as a staging area for the war to come.

    On Jan. 17, 1991, a five-month buildup called Desert Shield became Operation Desert Storm as allied aircraft attacked Iraqi bases and Baghdad government facilities. The six-week aerial campaign climaxed with a massive ground offensive on Feb. 24-28, routing the Iraqis from Kuwait in 100 hours before U.S. officials called a halt.

    Schwarzkopf said afterward he agreed with Bush's decision to stop the war rather than drive to Baghdad to capture Saddam, as his mission had been only to oust the Iraqis from Kuwait.

    But in a desert tent meeting with vanquished Iraqi generals, he allowed a key concession on Iraq's use of helicopters, which later backfired by enabling Saddam to crack down more easily on rebellious Shiites and Kurds.

    While he later avoided the public second-guessing by academics and think-tank experts over the ambiguous outcome of Gulf War I and its impact on Gulf War II, he told The Washington Post in 2003, "You can't help but... with 20/20 hindsight, go back and say, 'Look, had we done something different, we probably wouldn't be facing what we are facing today.'"

    After retiring from the Army in 1992, Schwarzkopf wrote a bestselling autobiography, "It Doesn't Take A Hero." Of his Gulf war role, he said, "I like to say I'm not a hero. I was lucky enough to lead a very successful war." He was knighted by Queen Elizabeth II and honoured with decorations from France, Britain, Belgium, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Bahrain.

    Schwarzkopf was a national spokesman for prostate cancer awareness and for Recovery of the Grizzly Bear, served on the Nature Conservancy board of governors and was active in various charities for chronically ill children.

    "I may have made my reputation as a general in the Army and I'm very proud of that," he once told the AP. "But I've always felt that I was more than one-dimensional. I'd like to think I'm a caring human being. ... It's nice to feel that you have a purpose."

    Schwarzkopf and his wife, Brenda, had three children: Cynthia, Jessica and Christian.

    ___

    Pyle reported from New York. Associated Press writer Jay Lindsay in Boston contributed to this report.

    177

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    WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Contracts for U.S. home resales hit a 2-1/2-year high in November and factory activity in the Midwest expanded this month, suggesting some strength in the economy despite the threat of tighter fiscal policy.

    The National Association of Realtors said on Friday its Pending Home Sales Index, based on contracts signed last month, increased 1.7 percent to 106.4 - the highest level since April 2010 when the home-buyer tax credit expired.

    November marked the third straight month of gains for signed contracts, which become sales after a month or two, and followed a 5 percent increase in October.

    A separate report showed the Institute for Supply Management-Chicago business barometer rose to 51.6 in December from 50.4 in November. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the regional economy. It was the second straight month of growth and was driven by a rebound in new orders.

    The data suggested some of the growth momentum from the third quarter carried into the final three months of 2012, even as businesses and households braced for sharp cuts in government spending and higher taxes in the new year.

    Data so far in the fourth quarter ranging from consumer spending, housing, employment and the various manufacturing indicators have been fairly upbeat.

    "We don't see much evidence that the economy was slowing as we headed into the end of the year, but everything could change on January 1," said John Ryding, chief economist at RDQ Economics in New York.

    There are fears that currently stalled budget talks in Washington will fail to steer clear of a $600 billion "fiscal cliff" of less government spending and higher taxes, which could tip the economy back into recession.

    "There is nothing here to suggest that the economy has enough momentum to withstand the shock if we go over the fiscal-cliff with no quick return," said Ryding. "The good news right now is it looks like we could have the mid-twos kind of GDP (growth) for the fourth quarter."

    STRENGTHENING HOUSING RECOVERY

    The economy grew at a 3.1 percent annual rate in the third quarter. The latest Reuters survey of economists put fourth-quarter gross domestic product growth at a 1.2 percent rate, mostly because of superstorm Sandy, which struck the East Coast in late October and fiscal cliff-related cutbacks in business spending.

    U.S. financial markets ignored the data as attention remained focused on the developments in Washington surrounding the fiscal cliff.

    Stocks on Wall Street fell, putting the Standard & Poor's 500 index on track for a fifth straight day of declines. U.S. Treasury debt prices rose, while the dollar was little changed against a basket of currencies.

    Though the employment gauge in the Chicago ISM survey fell to a three-year low in December, economists expected a rebound given the strength in new orders.

    "The drop in employment reflects the weakness in new orders in November and to a lesser degree the fiscal cliff. With the bounce back in new orders, employment will also bounce back," said Eric Green, chief economist at TD Securities in New York.

    The pending home sales report pointed to a strengthening in the housing market recovery. Contracts were up 9.8 percent in the 12 months through November.

    The housing market has turned the corner after a dramatic collapse, which dragged the economy through its worst recession since the Great Depression of the 1930s.

    Home sales and prices are rising, encouraging builders to undertake new construction projects. Home resale contracts were up in three of the country's four regions. They were unchanged in the South.

    "The housing revival seems to be happening in a way that puts some positive feedback loop, a virtuous cycle into the economy," said Jerry Webman, chief economist at OppenheimerFunds in New York.

    (Reporting By Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Neil Stempleman)

    54

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    BOGOTA (Reuters) - Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos, who underwent cancer surgery in October, is suffering from a urinary infection but there is no risk to his overall health, his office said on Friday.

    Santos, who is at his official retreat in the coastal city of Cartagena, is able to continue with his daily agenda after a regular checkup, his doctor, Felipe Gomez, said in a statement sent by the president's office.

    "I was in a post operative checkup and now I am back to my normal routine," Santos, 61, said in a Twitter message.

    The conservative president told Colombians in October he was suffering from non-aggressive prostate cancer and needed surgery. The disease had been caught in time and there was minimal risk, he said back then.

    The Harvard-educated economist is in peace talks with the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia, the Marxist-inspired insurgency that has killed tens of thousands over 50 years.

    A peace deal would help secure Santos a place in history and allow him to build on the economic and security advances that began under former President Alvaro Uribe a decade ago.

    Success would also determine whether he would seek a second term in 2014.

    Colombia, a country of about 46 million people, has attracted record foreign direct investment over the last few years as a U.S.-backed military offensive against drug traffickers and FARC rebels improved business confidence.

    (Reporting by Helen Murphy; Editing by Doina Chiacu)

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    WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. shrimp producers filed a petition on Friday asking the Commerce Department to impose punitive duties on billions of dollars of shrimp from China, Vietnam, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Ecuador to offset what they said were unfair foreign government subsidies.

    "Today's filing is about the survival of the entire U.S. shrimp industry," C. David Veal, executive director of the Coalition of Gulf Shrimp Industries, said in a statement.

    The group represents shrimp fisherman in Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and Texas who say they have lost U.S. market share to lower-priced imports from the six countries in Asia and the one in South America.

    "Our harvesters, docks, and processors have all played a vital role in the economy and culture of the Gulf region throughout its history. This case will help determine whether together we can continue to create jobs, contribute to economic growth, and sustain communities across the Gulf states for years to come," Veal said.

    The request could be awkward for the United States because it is engaged in regional free-trade talks with two of the countries targeted by the petition, Vietnam and Malaysia.

    The threat of punitive U.S. duties on their shrimp exports could make those countries reluctant to agree to U.S. demands for market-opening in other sectors.

    The seven countries named in the petition exported $4.3 billion worth of shrimp to the United States in 2011, accounting for 85 percent of U.S. imports and over three-quarters of the domestic market, the U.S. industry group said.

    The Commerce Department has several weeks to decide whether to launch an investigation. Assuming it does, final countervailing duties could be in place by the end of 2013 if illegal foreign subsidies are found, the group said.

    (Reporting By Doug Palmer; Editing by Peter Cooney)

    モンクレール ショップ 132

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    NEW YORK (Reuters) - Jean Harris, a former girl's school headmistress who was convicted and imprisoned for the 1980 murder of a best-selling diet doctor, has died, The New York Times reported on Friday.

    Harris died on Sunday at an assisted-living facility in Connecticut, the Times said, citing her son James. She was 89.

    Harris served 12 years in prison for the murder of her lover, Dr,モンクレール レディース ダウン. Herman Tarnower, author of the hugely popular "Complete Scarsdale Medical Diet."

    The case - with elements of violent jealousy, a celebrity victim, a love triangle involving a younger woman and the head of an exclusive boarding school - provided newspaper headlines and tabloid fodder for months.

    The head of the posh Madeira School in McLean, Virginia, Harris was convicted of Tarnower's 1980 shooting death and sentenced to 15 years in prison for murder.

    She was granted clemency by then New York Governor Mario Cuomo and released in 1993.

    At the time of the murder, Harris, 57 and divorced, and the never-married Tarnower, 69, had been dating for more than a decade.

    The doctor, who first published the "Complete Scarsdale Medical Diet," in 1978, had also been carrying on an affair with his younger receptionist.

    On the night of March 10, 1980, a distraught Harris wrote a will, funeral instructions and a letter resigning her job before driving to Tarnower's home in suburban Purchase, New York, testimony at her trial showed.

    Harris testified she went there with a pistol and the intention of killing herself.

    An unlikely-looking murder defendant in her conservative headband and strand of pearls, Harris testified she put the gun to her head,モンクレール メンズ, but the couple struggled over the weapon which then went off.

    Tarnower was struck by four bullets and died,モンクレール ショップ.

    Looking back at the case earlier this year in a New York magazine article, the late author Nora Ephron called it "a tabloid dream."

    "The doctor lived in an 'exclusive' Westchester home; the socialite headed a 'posh' girls' school," she wrote. "We were thrilled. When I say we, I mean me, but I also mean every woman who has ever wanted to kill a bad boyfriend."

    While in New York's maximum-security Bedford Hills Correctional Facility, Harris created programs for inmates and their children, including a program allowing newborns to stay with their incarcerated mothers for a year and parenting classes.

    A Children of Bedford Fund that Harris launched has raised millions of dollars to help inmates' children attend college, the Times said.

    While in prison, Harris also became a cause celebre by a host of supporters, including her trial judge, who argued for her release.

    Writing in support of Harris in 1988, the late newspaper columnist Murray Kempton wrote: "The only question the governor of New York ought by now to ask himself about Jean Harris is not whether he should grant her clemency, but why he already hasn't.

    Cuomo rejected her applications for clemency three times before commuting her sentence when she was 69. She had suffered two serious heart attacks while in prison.

    Following her release, Harris lived in New Hampshire, where she gardened, spoke publicly about the issues of women in prison and cared for her beloved golden retriever, the Times said.

    Harris wrote a book about her experience, published in 1986, entitled "Stranger in Two Worlds."

    Authors Shana Alexander and Diana Trilling wrote books about the case. Actress Ellen Burstyn played Harris in the 1981 made-for-television movie "The People vs. Jean Harris," while Annette Bening played her in the 2005 TV movie "Mrs. Harris."

    (Reporting, writing by Ellen Wulfhorst; desking by G Crosse)

    2012年12月26日星期三

    「ライス国務長官」葬り「オバマ批判」強めるマケイン

    「ライス国務長官」葬り「オバマ批判」強めるマケイン
    バラク・オバマ大統領は、クリスマス休暇を生まれ故郷ハワイで過ごすためにハワイへ移動する直前の今月21日、既に退任の意向を表明しているヒラリー・クリントン国務長官の後任として、現在、米議会上院外交委員会委員長の要職にあり、2004年の民主党大統領候補であったジョン・ケリー上院議員(マサチューセッツ州)を正式に指名した。当初は、オバマ大統領が出馬した2008年民主党大統領候補指名獲得争い当時から外交顧問だったスーザン・ライス国連大使を次期国務長官に指名するのではないかと見られていた。そのため、次期国務長官候補の1人であったケリー氏は、第2期オバマ政権では間もなく退任すると見られているレオン・パネッタ国防長官の後任に指名されるのではとの憶測も一部にあった。

     だが、オバマ大統領が次期国務長官としてライス国連大使を検討している事実が表面化すると、J.クリストファー・スティーブンズ駐リビア米国大使をはじめとする米国人4名が殺害された、今年9月11日に発生したリビア東部の在ベンガジ米国領事館襲撃事件が、この人事に大きな影を落とすこととなった。ライス国連大使はホワイトハウスの要請に基づき、同襲撃事件直後の9月16日に日曜政治討論番組に相次いで出演し、米諜報機関から提供された情報に基づき同襲撃事件は反米暴動が原因との見解を示していた。ところがその後、同襲撃事件は周到に準備されていたテロ事件であったことが明らかになり、オバマ政権は大統領選挙キャンペーンが本格化した直後に発生した同襲撃事件がテロ事件であることを隠蔽しようとしていたのではないかとの疑惑が浮上したのである。とりわけ、在ベンガジ米国領事館襲撃事件でのオバマ政権の対応についての批判で急先鋒に立ったのがジョン・マケイン(アリゾナ州)、リンゼイ・グラム(サウスカロライナ州)の2人の共和党上院議員であった。

     オバマ大統領は再選後初めて行なった11月14日のホワイトハウスでの記者会見で、マケイン、グラム両上院議員を名指しし、ライス国連大使の名声を汚そうとする両上院議員の姿勢は「極めて侮辱的(“outrageous”)」との厳しい表現を用いてライス氏を全面擁護した。ライス国連大使はマケイン、グラム両上院議員らに対し在ベンガジ米国領事館襲撃事件発生後の対応について米議会内で面談して説明を行なったが、マケイン上院議員らの理解は得られず、ライス氏は厳しい立場に追い込まれることとなった。さらに、共和党穏健派のスーザン・コリンズ上院議員(メイン州)は、ライス氏が第2期クリントン政権で国務次官補(アフリカ問題担当)在職当時の1998年、ケニアとタンザニアの米国大使館爆破事件で米国人をはじめとする多数の犠牲者が出たのは、ライス氏が在外公館のセキュリティ強化を十分に行なわなかったためであると指摘、当時の責任をも追及する事態となった。

    「ライス国務長官」を葬ることになった決定打は、マケイン上院議員が今月10日、現在、野党筆頭理事を務めている上院軍事委員会から、次期国務長官の指名承認プロセスを担当する上院外交委員会への移籍に言及したことだった。共和党の議員規則では、6年以上連続して同じ委員会の委員長や野党筆頭理事を務めることが禁じられているために、マケイン上院議員は軍事委員会から外交委員会への移籍に関心を示した。その判断は、現在、ミッチ・マコーネル共和党上院院内総務(ケンタッキー州)ら上院共和党指導部の判断に委ねられている。だが、マケイン氏が外交委員会へ移籍すれば、委員会で行なわれる公聴会でライス氏の長官指名に反対するのは必至だ。マケイン上院議員のこのような動きがオバマ大統領にライス国連大使の次期国務長官指名を見送らせ、ケリー上院議員を指名する1つの圧力となったことは間違いない。マケイン氏のこうした意思表明が行なわれた3日後の今月13日、ライス国連大使はオバマ大統領に対し、自身を次期国務長官の検討対象から除外するよう自ら申し出ている。次期国務長官指名承認プロセスに関与する共和党有力議員らはケリー上院議員の外交政策に関する見識を高く評価しており、指名承認プロセスは順調に推移するとの見方を相次いで示している。そのことはケリー氏が上院外交委員会委員長の要職を辞任することを意味する。

     マケイン氏とケリー氏はともにヴェトナム戦争従軍経験を共有しており、ケリー氏は2004年民主党大統領候補として副大統領候補にマケイン氏を検討していた経緯がある。また、第1期ジョージ・W.ブッシュ政権当時、マケイン氏は共和党を離党することをトム・ダッシュル民主党上院院内総務(サウスダコタ州)(当時)と真剣に協議していた。だが、現在、対ロシア外交やアフガニスタンからの米軍撤退問題、あるいは、シリア情勢を巡りオバマ外交を共和党から最も厳しく批判しているのはマケイン上院議員である。2人は2008年大統領選挙を2大政党のそれぞれの大統領候補として競ったが、あれから4年以上が経過した現在の2人の関係は「協力」よりも「対立」で定義されている。今回、マケイン上院議員がオバマ大統領の信頼の厚いライス国連大使の次期国務長官指名を事実上阻止したことで、オバマ大統領とマケイン上院議員との間には感情的しこりが残ったのではないだろうか。マケイン上院議員の上院外交委員会在籍を上院共和党指導部が認めた場合、マケイン氏は上院外交委員会を舞台にオバマ外交批判をさらに強めるのではないかと筆者は考えている。

     マケイン上院議員は2010年中間選挙で5選を果たしており、任期は2017年1月までである。2017年1月はオバマ大統領が2期8年の任期を終えてホワイトハウスを去る時期と重なる。2014年中間選挙では共和党現職13名が改選期を迎えるのに対し、民主党は現職20名が改選期を迎えることになっており、上院民主党は「守りの選挙」を強いられることになる。2014年中間選挙で民主党が多数党の立場を失った場合、上院外交委員会委員長のポストも共和党上院議員により握られることになる。マケイン上院議員が同委員会での年功序列を重視し、ボブ・コーカー上院議員(テネシー州)が上院外交委員会委員長に就任しても、マケイン上院議員の外交・安全保障問題に関する発言力はさらに増大することになろう。共和党支配の議会での制約から逃れるために外交面での業績を残そうとする第2期オバマ政権にとり、マケイン上院議員は目障りな存在となる可能性がある。

    執筆者 足立正彦
    住友総合研究所シニアアナリスト
    1965年生れ。90年、慶應義塾大学法学部卒業後、ハイテク・メーカーで日米経済摩擦案件にかかわる。2000年7月から4年間、米ワシントンDCで米国政治、日米通商問題、米議会動向、日米関係全般を調査・分析。06年4月より現職。米国大統領選挙、米国内政、日米通商関係、米国の対中東政策などを担当する。【関連記事】 国際情報サイト「フォーサイト」 足立正彦 記事一覧 投票率を上げるには? (フォーサイトフォーラム) アメリカは銃乱射事件が頻繁に起こるのに、なぜ銃の携帯が禁止にならないの ? (フォーサイトフォーラム) 今回の領土問題で、両国が仲介をたのめる国はどこだと思いますか? (フォーサイトフォーラム)

    トヨタ「クラウン」の憂鬱

    トヨタ「クラウン」の憂鬱
    トヨタ自動車の看板車種「クラウン」。トヨタのみならず、日本を代表する高級セダンだ。個人向けだけでなく社用車や個人タクシーなど法人向けでも広く使用され、社会的な成功者が乗る車と認知されている。

    【詳細画像または表】

     だが、当のトヨタからは、クラウンの存在や位置づけについて静かな苦悩ぶりがうかがえる。

     トヨタは12月25日、「クラウン」を5年ぶりにフルモデルチェンジ(全面改良)し、販売を開始した。価格は353万~543万円。月間販売台数は4000台を目指している。

     14代目に生まれ変わった新型クラウン。今回のモデルチェンジで大きな話題を呼んでいるのが、クルマの顔ともいえるフロントグリル部のデザインが大きく変更されたことだ。フォーマルスタイルの「ロイヤル」シリーズ、スポーティなスタイルの「アスリート」シリーズともに、従来よりも“動的”なデザインが採用された。

    ■ 「トヨタも、クラウンも変わらなければならない」

     「日本の自動車市場は新車を出しさえすれば乗り換えてくれる時代は過ぎた。本当に欲しいと思うクルマを作らないと買ってもらえない。あえてクラウンの保守的なイメージを覆すデザインを採用した。日本の自動車産業が置かれた厳しい状況を乗り越えるためには、トヨタも、クラウンも変わらなければいけない」。同日、東京・渋谷の渋谷ヒカリエで発表会に臨んだ豊田章男社長は強調した。 クラウンといえば、日本の高級セダンの代名詞。「保守」の伝統を背負うだけに大胆なデザイン変更にはリスクも伴うが、トヨタがここまで「攻め」の姿勢を打ち出さなければならないワケは、クラウンが長期的な低落傾向から抜け出せないからだ。

     クラウンの歴史は日本経済の縮図でもある。栄華を極めたのはバブル経済の絶頂からほどない1990年。年間販売台数は20万台を超えた。ところが、その後は低落傾向をたどっている。モデルチェンジのたびに少し盛り返しても、長期的なトレンドでみれば販売台数は右肩下がり。今年の販売台数は3万台前後と、ピークから8割以上も減少しているのだ。

     理由は大きく3つある。

    ■ 消費者行動が大きく変化

     まずは「セダン離れ」だ。セダンとは、ボンネットとトランクを持つ5人乗りのクルマ。昭和の時代までは、乗用車といえばどれもこれもセダンだった。消費者は排気量と価格に応じて、自分に見合う車種を選んでいた。その頂点に位置していたのがクラウンだった。

     ところが平成に入ると時代は一変。ミニバンやコンパクトカー、SUV(スポーツ多目的車)、ハイブリッド車(HV)など車種の 選択肢が広がり、社会的に成功を収めたからといって高級セダンを買い求めるという消費行動パターンにならなくなった。前へ123次へ3ページ中1ページ目を表示【関連記事】 日産のEV「リーフ」が売れないワケ スズキのドル箱・ワゴンRにまさかの展開 ダイハツ、新型「ムーヴ」に映る危機感 EV不発、日産がハイブリッド大量投下に転換 月販600台でも国内生産、日産の意地

    India clamps down on gang rape protests, PM appeals for calm

    India clamps down on gang rape protests, PM appeals for calm

    B型の人は独特の感性でイメージ展開 ひらめきや直感に富む

    B型の人は独特の感性でイメージ展開 ひらめきや直感に富む
    占いのように思われがちだが、最近では会社の人事に取り入れられるケースも見受けられるのが血液型診断。O型とA型で約7割を占める日本人。その煮詰まりやすい社会のなかに、発想転換のヒントを与えるとともに、潤滑油として「楽しさ」を与えるのがB型だ。
     
     B型に向いているのは、音楽や芸術分野に関わる仕事。独特の鋭い感性でイメージを展開したり、ひらめきや直感に富んでいるので、クリエイティブな分野の仕事には最適だが、持続力がないのが弱点。
     
    『人生の9割は血液型で決まる!』(世界文化社刊)の著者で、これまで20数年もの間、多くの人に対して「血液型と性格・性質」について研究を行なってきた小萩喜一氏がこう語る。

    「B型の人に大切なのは“どこまでも真剣に遊ぶこと”です。これはと思うものに出会ったら、思い切りそこに照準を合わせ、夢をかなえるために一心不乱に取り組むと成功します」

     占いなどでは「変わり者」扱いされがちなB型だが、その熱中ぶりや波瀾万丈さを評価する声も。クリエイティブな企画者として独創性を認めてもらえるかどうかがB型の人の分岐点なのである。

    ※週刊ポスト2013年1月1・11日号【関連記事】 かかりやすい病気や食べ物の好き嫌いは血液型で決まるとの説 A型 “散らかると面倒”という無精さが几帳面な性格のもと A型の人は胃がんに、B型は食道がんになりやすいと脳科学者 O型の人 並外れた学習能力があり体力が強いと血液型専門家 A型の人は弁護士や報道関係に向きAB型の人は芸術家等が適職

    「捨てられないもの」ランキング

    「捨てられないもの」ランキング
    そろそろ大掃除をしている人も多い時期。普段開けない引き出しやクローゼットの中を片づけていると、思わぬモノが出てくることがある。旅の思い出、昔のノート、別れた恋人との写真…。思わず見入ってしまい、片づけの手がとまってしまった経験はないだろうか。片づけるつもりだったのに、捨てられずに引き出しの奥にしまい込んでしまったり…。

    特別な「思い出」でなくても、「捨てられないモノ」は意外と多い。たとえば「昔の名刺」とか「使い終わった手帳」とか。いわばライフログのようなものだが、この手のモノもいざ捨てようとするとためらってしまうもの。皆さんはいかがだろうか? そこで様々な思い出の品の「捨てられない度合い」をリサーチすべく、25~34歳の男性200名に調査を実施。全15品の“思い出の品”について、「捨てられない」との回答が多い順にランキングしてみると、以下のような結果になった。

    ●「捨てられない思い出の品」ランキング
    ※「たいてい捨てられずにとっておく」「捨てられずにとっておくこともある」と回答した人の割合

    1位 給与・賞与明細(紙の場合) 80.0%
    2位 使い終わった手帳や仕事のノート・メモ帳 64.5%
    3位 海外旅行に行った際にもらった現地の地図やパンフレット 61.5%
    4位 昔の名刺(前職の名刺) 60.5%
    5位 昔の彼女と撮った写真 55.5%
    6位 昔の彼女にもらった手作りのプレゼント 53.0%
    7位 昔の彼女からもらった手紙 52.5%
    8位 昔の彼女といっしょに買ったペアリング 51.%
    9位 観に行った映画やコンサートのチケット 50.5%
    10位 石や貝殻など訪れた先で拾ったもの 49.0%
    11位 海外旅行に行った際の航空券 47.0%
    12位 遊びに行ったアミューズメントスポットのチケット 44.5%
    13位 社内報などの資料 44.0%
    14位 昔の彼女といっしょに行った映画やコンサートのチケット 34.0%
    15位 旅先で買ったもののレシート 22.5%

    ダントツの1位は「給与・賞与明細」。これは「後々、必要になるかも」という実用的な側面も大きいだろう。「消えた年金問題」も記憶に新しいので、そうした不安も背景にありそうだ。とはいえ、給与明細はキャリアの軌跡でもある。自身の“稼ぎ”を記録しておきたいという気持ちもあるかもしれない。「キャリア」という意味では、2位の「使い終わった手帳や仕事のノート・メモ帳」、4位の「前職の名刺」も捨てられない人が多いようだ。

    次いで「捨てられない」との回答が多かったのは、「昔の彼女との思い出の品」の類。5位の「昔の彼女と撮った写真」を筆頭に、「昔の彼女にもらった手作りのプレゼント」「手紙」「ペアリング」など、過去の恋愛を引きずるオトコの特徴がうかがえる。

    ちなみに、こうした“思い出の品”の保管法を聞いてみると、大半はファイルや箱、封筒などに入れておくだけ。ノートやアルバムに貼ったり、スキャンして電子化したり…という強者もいたが、あくまで少数派。見返す頻度も「半年~数年に1回」が多かったが、「見返すことはない」と断言する人も。それなら捨てればいいのに…と、思わず突っ込みたくなるが、残しておきたい気持ちも痛いほどわかる。

    「思い出をきれいに残そう」なんてCMがあったが、年末の大掃除ついでに放っておいた思い出たちを整理してみては?
    (船山壮太/verb)
    (R25編集部)

    ※コラムの内容は、フリーマガジンR25およびweb R25から一部抜粋したものです
    ※一部のコラムを除き、web R25では図・表・写真付きのコラムを掲載しております【関連記事】 「良い写真」自動選出サービス登場 子供心を思い出すソーラーカー “母ちゃん”の弁当の思い出集まる 僕らは年間いくら税金とられてる? 「捨てられないモノ」に映し出される自分とは

    Japan's Abe taps allies for cabinet, eyes deflation

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  • Iran media report new cyberattack by Stuxnet worm

    Iran media report new cyberattack by Stuxnet worm

    TEHRAN, Iran (AP) — An Iranian semi-official news agency says there has been another cyberattack by the sophisticated computer worm Stuxnet, this time on the industries in the country's south.

    Tuesday's report by ISNA quotes provincial civil defense chief Ali Akbar Akhavan as saying the virus targeted a power plant and some other industries in Hormozgan province in recent months.

    Akhavan says Iranian computer experts were able to "successfully stop" the worm.

    Iran has repeatedly claimed defusing cyber worms and malware, including Stuxnet and Flame viruses that targeted the vital oil sector, which provides 80 percent of the country's foreign revenue.

    Tehran has said both worms are part of a secret U.S.-Israeli program that seeks to destabilize Iran's nuclear program.

    The West suspects Iran is pursuing a nuclear weapons program, a charge Tehran denies.

    Merry indeed: Jessica Simpson tweets a hint of possible pregnancy

    Merry indeed: Jessica Simpson tweets a hint of possible pregnancy

    NEW YORK, N.Y. - Jessica Simpson's daughter has the news all spelled out: "Big Sis."

    Simpson on Tuesday tweeted a photo of her baby daughter Maxwell playing in the sand, with the words "Big Sis" spelled out.

    The 32-year-old old singer has been rumoured to be pregnant again. The tweet appears to confirm the rumours.

    "Merry Christmas from my family to yours" is the picture's caption. Simpson used a tweet in 2011 to announce she was pregnant with Maxwell. She is engaged to Eric Johnson.

    Oil prices rise as 'fiscal cliff' talks to resume

    Oil prices rise as 'fiscal cliff' talks to resume

    BANGKOK (AP) -- The price of oil rose Wednesday after President Barack Obama indicated he would cut his Christmas holiday short and head to Washington to try to work out a deal to keep the U.S. from heading over the "fiscal cliff."

    Benchmark oil for February delivery rose 40 cents at midday Bangkok time to $89.01 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

    On Monday, concerns over the stalemate in Washington drove benchmark oil prices lower, with the contract closing down 5 cents at $88.61 a barrel on the Nymex.

    Obama was expected to arrive in Washington early Thursday, the White House said, after a brief vacation in Hawaii. Congress was also expected to return to the U.S. capital Thursday and begin budget negotiations.

    Hopes that U.S. leaders might reach a budget deal helped buoy oil prices. Failure to agree on a plan before Jan. 1 would lead to spending cuts and tax hikes that economists predict will push the economy back into recession. Otherwise, the economy is expected to show slight improvement in 2013, a positive for energy consumption and prices.

    In other energy futures trading:

    — Brent crude, used to price international varieties of oil, rose 42 cents to $109.22 a barrel.

    — Natural gas fell 2.8 cents to $3.318 per 1,000 cubic feet.

    — Heating oil rose 1.4 cents to $3.0022 a gallon.

    — Wholesale gasoline rose 1.6 cents to $2.75 a gallon.

    Pope's Christmas message focuses on Mideast, China

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    VATICAN CITY (AP) — In his Christmas message to the world Tuesday, Pope Benedict XVI called for an end to the slaughter in Syria and for more meaningful negotiations between Israelis and Palestinians, while encouraging more religious freedom under China's new leaders.

    Delivering the traditional speech from the central balcony of St. Peter's Basilica, Benedict also encouraged Arab spring nations, especially Egypt, to build just and respectful societies.

    The pope prayed that China's new leadership may "esteem the contribution of the religions, in respect for each other" to help build a "fraternal society for the benefit of that noble people."

    It was a clear reference to the Chinese government's often harsh treatment of Catholics loyal to the pontiff instead of to the state-sanctioned church. Earlier this month, the Vatican refused to accept the decision by Chinese authorities to revoke the title of a Shanghai bishop, who had been appointed in a rare show of consensus between the Holy See and China.

    As the 85-year-old pontiff, bundled up in an ermine-trimmed red cape, gingerly stepped foot on the balcony, the pilgrims, tourists and Romans below backing St. Peter's Square erupted in cheers.

    Less than 12 hours earlier, Benedict had led a two-hour long Christmas Eve ceremony in the basilica. He sounded hoarse and looked weary as he read his Christmas message and then holiday greetings in 65 languages.

    In his "Urbi et Orbi" speech, which traditionally reviews world events and global challenges, Benedict prayed that "peace spring up for the people of Syria, deeply wounded and divided by a conflict that does not spare even the defenseless and reaps innocent victims."

    He called for easier access to help refugees and for "dialogue in the pursuit of a political solution to the conflict."

    Benedict prayed that God "grant Israelis and Palestinians courage to end long years of conflict and division, and to embark resolutely on the path to negotiation."

    Israel, backed by the United States, opposed the Palestinian statehood bid, saying it was a ploy to bypass negotiations, something the Palestinians deny. Talks stalled four years ago.

    Senior Palestinian official Saeb Erekat said that in a meeting with the pope last week, Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas "emphasized our total readiness to resume negotiations." The Palestinians have not dropped their demand that Israel first stop settlement activities before returning to the negotiating table.

    Hours earlier, in the ancient Bethlehem church built over the site where tradition holds Jesus was born, candles illuminated the sacred site and the joyous sound of prayer filled its overflowing halls.

    Overcast skies and a cold wind in the Holy Land didn't dampen the spirits of worshippers in the biblical West Bank town. Bells pealed and long lines formed inside the fourth-century Church of the Nativity complex as Christian faithful waited to see the grotto that is Jesus' traditional birthplace.

    Duncan Hardock, 24, a writer from MacLean, Virginia, traveled to Bethlehem from the republic of Georgia, where he had been teaching English. After passing through the separation barrier Israel built to ward off West Bank attackers, he walked to Bethlehem's Manger Square where the church stands.

    "I feel we got to see both sides of Bethlehem in a really short period of time," Hardock said. "On our walk from the wall, we got to see the lonesome, closed side of Bethlehem ... But the moment we got into town, we're suddenly in the middle of the party."

    Bethlehem lies 10 kilometers (6 miles) south of Jerusalem. Entry to the city is controlled by Israel, which occupied the West Bank in 1967.

    For those who couldn't fit into the cavernous Bethlehem church, a loudspeaker outside broadcast the Christmas day service to hundreds of faithful in the square.

    Their Palestinian hosts, who welcome this holiday as the high point of their city's year, were especially joyous this season, proud of the United Nations' recognition of an independent state of Palestine just last month.

    "From this holy place, I invite politicians and men of good will to work with determination for peace and reconciliation that encompasses Palestine and Israel in the midst of all the suffering in the Middle East," said the top Roman Catholic cleric in the Holy Land, Latin Patriarch Fouad Twal in his annual address.

    Back at the Vatican, Benedict offered encouragement to countries after the Arab spring of democracy protests. He had a special word for Egypt, "blessed by the childhood of Jesus."

    Without citing the tumultuous politics and clashes in the region, he urged the North African region to build societies "founded on justice and respect for the dignity of every person."

    Benedict prayed for the return of peace in Mali and harmony in Nigeria, where, he recalled "savage acts of terrorism continue to reap victims, particularly among Christians."

    The Vatican for decades has been worried about the well-being of its flock in China, who are loyal to the pope in defiance of the communist's government support of an officially sponsored church, and relations between Beijing and the Holy See are often tense.

    Speaking about China's newly installed regime leaders, Benedict expressed hope that "they will esteem the contribution of the religions, in respect for each other, in such a way that they can help to build a fraternal society for the benefit of that noble people and of the whole world."

    Acknowledging Latin America's predominant Christian population, he urged government leaders to carry out commitments to development and to fighting organized crime.

    In Britain, the royal family was attending Christmas Day church services at St. Mary Magdelene Church on Queen Elizabeth II's sprawling Sandringham estate, though there were a few notable absences. Prince William is spending the holiday with his pregnant wife Kate and his in-laws in the southern England village of Bucklebury, while Prince Harry is serving with British troops in Afghanistan.

    Later Tuesday, the queen delivered her traditional, prerecorded Christmas message, which for the first time was broadcast in 3D.

    At Canterbury cathedral, Anglican leader Rowan Williams delivered his final Christmas day sermon as archbishop of Canterbury. He acknowledged how the church's General Synod's vote against allowing women to become bishops had cost credibility and said the faithful felt a "real sense of loss" over the decision.

    In the U.S., the Rev. Jesse Jackson brought his message of anti-violence and gun control to a Chicago jail, using his traditional Christmas Day sermon at the facility to challenge inmates to help get guns off the streets.

    "We've all been grieving about the violence in Newtown, Connecticut, the last few days," he told reporters after addressing inmates, referring to the Dec. 14 school shooting that killed 26 children and adults. "Most of those here today ... have either shot somebody or been shot. We're recruiting them to help us stop the flow of guns."

    In Newtown, well-wishers from around the U.S. showed up on Christmas morning to hang ornaments on a series of memorial Christmas trees while police officers from around Connecticut took extra shifts to direct traffic and patrol the town to give local police a day off. In a 24-hour vigil, volunteers watched over 26 candles that had been lit at midnight in honor of those slain at the Sandy Hook Elementary School.

    At a town hall memorial, Faith Leonard waved to people driving by and handed out Christmas cookies, children's gifts and hugs to anyone who needed it.

    "I guess my thought was if I could be here helping out maybe one person would be able to spend more time with their family or grieve in the way they needed to," said Leonard, who drove to Newtown from Gilbert, Arizona, to volunteer on Christmas morning.

    At St. Rose of Lima Roman Catholic Church, which eight of the child victims of the massacre attended, the Rev. Robert Weiss told parishioners that "today is the day we begin everything all over again."

    "We know Christmas in a way we never ever thought we would know it," he said. "We need a little Christmas and we've been given it."

    In a New York City neighborhood ravaged by Superstorm Sandy in late October, some holiday traditions had to go by the wayside, but Christmas was celebrated with a special sense of gratitude.

    Midmorning and noon Masses were packed Tuesday at St. Francis De Sales Church in the Rockaways; the church only recently got heat restored after Sandy flooded its basement. The bells and organ still don't work, so St. Francis De Sales is making do with a keyboard for now.

    "But nobody is feeling morose or down. They're just rebuilding their lives, keeping the faith and going forward," choir member Ed Quinn said. "It's not the best of circumstances, that's for sure. But we're making the best of it."

    ___

    Dalia Nammari in Bethlehem, Cassandra Vinograd in London, Sophia Tareen in Chicago, Julie Walker in New York, and Brock Vergakis and Stephen Singer in Newtown, Connecticut, contributed to this report.

  • 2012年12月25日星期二

    Idaho Sen. Crapo arrested in Va., charged with DUI

    Idaho Sen. Crapo arrested in Va., charged with DUI

    ALEXANDRIA, Va. (AP) — Idaho Sen. Michael Crapo was arrested early Sunday morning and charged with driving under the influence in a Washington, D.C., suburb, authorities said.

    Police in Alexandria, Va., said Sunday that the three-term Republican was pulled over after his vehicle ran a red light. Police spokesman Jody Donaldson said Crapo failed field sobriety tests and was arrested at about 12:45 a.m. He was transported to the Alexandria jail and released on an unsecured $1,000 bond at about 5 a.m.

    "There was no refusal (to take blood alcohol tests), no accident, no injuries," Donaldson said. "Just a traffic stop that resulted in a DUI."

    Police said Crapo, who was alone in his vehicle, registered a blood alcohol level of .11 percent. The legal limit in Virginia, which has strict drunken driving laws, is .08 percent.

    The 61-year-old Crapo (KRAY'-poh) has a Jan. 4 court date.

    "I am deeply sorry for the actions that resulted in this circumstance," Crapo said in a statement Sunday night. "I made a mistake for which I apologize to my family, my Idaho constituents and any others who have put their trust in me. I accept total responsibility and will deal with whatever penalty comes my way in this matter. I will also undertake measures to ensure that this circumstance is never repeated."

    In Virginia, the driver's license of anyone who registers a blood alcohol level of .08 percent or higher is automatically suspended for seven days. A first-time conviction for DUI carries a mandatory, minimum $250 fine and license revocation for one year, according to the state Department of Motor Vehicles.

    A Crapo spokesman declined to comment on the circumstances surrounding the senator's arrest.

    Elected in 1998, Crapo is in his third U.S. Senate term; he served for six years in the U.S. House of Representatives before that. He was easily re-elected in 2010 with more than 70 percent of the vote, and won't have to run again until 2016.

    In Congress, Crapo has built a reputation as a staunch social and fiscal conservative. It was expected he would take over the top Republican spot next year on the Senate Banking Committee. He also serves on the Senate's budget and finance panels. Crapo was a member of the so-called "Gang of Six" senators that worked in 2011 toward a deficit-reduction deal that was never adopted by Congress.

    A Mormon who grew up in Idaho Falls, Idaho, Crapo was named a bishop in the church at age 31. He is an attorney who graduated from Brigham Young University and Harvard Law School. He has five children with his wife, Susan, and three grandchildren.

    The Mormon church prohibits the use of alcohol, as well as coffee, tea and other substances. About one-quarter of Idaho residents are Mormon.

    Crapo has told The Associated Press in past interviews that he abstains from drinking alcohol.

    ___

    Associated Press writers Norman Gomlak in Atlanta and Josh Lederman in Washington contributed to this report.

    The Most Popular Scientific American Stories of 2012

    The Most Popular Scientific American Stories of 2012

    The top 10 most popular stories published in 2012:

    1. Men and Women Can't Be "Just Friends"

    2. The World’s Last Worm: A Dreaded Disease Nears Eradication

    3. NASA Crushes 2012 Mayan Apocalypse Claims 

    4. How Hollywood Is Encouraging Online Piracy

    5. Scientists Discover Children’s Cells Livingin Mothers’ Brains

    6. Psychiatry's "Bible" Gets an Overhaul

    7. “Once in a Civilization” Comet to Zip Past Earth Next Year

    8. The Power of Introverts: A Manifesto for Quiet Brilliance

    9. Obama and Romney Tackle 14 Top Science Questions

    10. North Carolina Considers Making Sea Level Rise Illegal

    Honorable mentions: old stories that surfaced with a vengeance this year.

    Why Do Cats Purr? April 3, 2006

    Why does lactic acid buildup in muscles? And why does I tcause soreness? January 23, 2006

    How Long Can a Person Survive without Food? November 8, 2004

    Follow Scientific American on Twitter @SciAm and @SciamBlogs.

    Visit ScientificAmerican.com for the latest in science, health and technology news.

    © 2012 ScientificAmerican.com. All rights reserved.

    Lebanese border means little in Syria's civil war

    Lebanese border means little in Syria's civil war
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    • Is Lebanon becoming Syria's Western front?
    • Syria downplays troop buildup on Lebanese border

      Read this story at csmonitor.com

      Become a part of the Monitor community

      Become a Facebook fan!Follow us on Twitter!Follow us on Google+Link up with us!Subscribe to our RSS feeds!

    Pro-gun rights US petition to deport Piers Morgan

    Pro-gun rights US petition to deport Piers Morgan

    LONDON (AP) — Tens of thousands of people have signed a petition calling for British CNN host Piers Morgan to be deported from the U.S. over his gun control views.

    Morgan has taken an aggressive stand for tighter U.S. gun laws in the wake of the Newtown, Connecticut, school shooting. Last week, he called a gun advocate appearing on his "Piers Morgan Tonight" show an "unbelievably stupid man."

    Now, gun rights activists are fighting back. A petition created Dec. 21 on the White House e-petition website by a user in Texas accuses Morgan of engaging in a "hostile attack against the U.S. Constitution" by targeting the Second Amendment. It demands he be deported immediately for "exploiting his position as a national network television host to stage attacks against the rights of American citizens."

    The petition has already hit the 25,000 signature threshold to get a White House response. By Monday, it had 31,813 signatures.

    Morgan seemed unfazed — and even amused — by the movement.

    In a series of Twitter messages, he alternately urged his followers to sign the petition and in response to one article about the petition said "bring it on" as he appeared to track the petition's progress.

    "If I do get deported from America for wanting fewer gun murders, are there any other countries that will have me?" he wrote.

    10 Things to Know for Tuesday

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    Your daily look at late-breaking news, upcoming events and stories that will be talked about Tuesday:

    1. WHO'S KEEPING TABS ON SANTA

    Hundreds of volunteers at "NORAD Tracks Santa" receive tens of thousands of calls from kids curious about St. Nick's progress on Christmas Eve.

    2. POPE: MAKE ROOM FOR CHRIST

    Benedict XVI marks Christmas Eve with Mass in St. Peter's Basilica, asking: Will people find room in their hectic, technology-driven lives for children, the poor and God?

    3. 'IT DOES APPEAR IT WAS A TRAP'

    An ex-con guns down two firefighters after luring them to his central New York neighborhood by setting a car and a house ablaze.

    4. CHILD DEATHS BY GUNS

    Between 2006 and 2010, 561 children age 12 and under were killed by firearms, according to the FBI.

    5. AFGHAN POLICEWOMAN KILLS US ADVISER

    It is the first such shooting by a woman in a spate of insider attacks by Afghans against their foreign allies.

    6. WHAT OBAMA FACES WHEN HE RETURNS FROM HAWAII

    Big issues awaiting the president include more 'fiscal cliff' wrangling, immigration and gun control.

    7. 'THE ODD COUPLE'S' BELOVED OSCAR DIES AT 90

    Jack Klugman played the gruff, down-to-earth type of guy you could imagine running into at a bar or riding on a subway.

    8. FOOD PANTRIES 101

    Growing numbers of food banks on university campuses may be a response to a weak economy and a sign of the latest trend in student activism.

    9. HOW GUN RIGHTS ADVOCATES FEEL ABOUT TV HOST

    Thousands sign a petition seeking British CNN host Piers Morgan's deportation from the U.S. over his gun control views.

    10. WHERE HOPES FOR A TRUCE SEEM DOUBTFUL

    After talks with President Assad, the international envoy to Syria offers no indication of progress toward ending the civil war.

  • China to crack down on "malicious" trademark registrations

    China to crack down on "malicious" trademark registrations

    BEIJING (Reuters) - China plans to change the law to crackdown on "malicious" trademark registrations, state media said on Monday, after a series of cases in which well-know international brands and individuals have had their names or copyright misused.

    Foreign governments, including the United States, have for years urged China to take a stronger stand against intellectual property rights violations on products ranging from medicines to software to DVD movies.

    Basketball legend Michael Jordan is one of the latest to accuse a company of using his name without permission, and French luxury group Hermes International SCA and Apple Inc have faced trademark problems too.

    The proposed amendment will offer protection to major international brands, giving copyright owners the right to ban others from registering their trademarks or from using similar ones, even if such trademarks are not registered, the official Xinhua news agency reported.

    "The draft is intended to curb the malicious registration of trademarks," Xinhua said.

    The country's legislature - which performs a largely rubber stamp role - will discuss the amendment this week, it said, without saying when the new rules could be put in place or providing other details.

    The move comes after basketball star Michael Jordan filed a lawsuit in China in February against a Chinese sportswear company, accusing the firm of unauthorized use of his name.

    The Naismith Memorial Basketball Hall of Fame recipient and former Chicago Bulls star said that Qiaodan Sports, a company located in the southern Fujian province, had built its business around his Chinese name "Qiaodan" and jersey number without his permission.

    The lawsuit has yet to go to trial, Chinese media have reported.

    France's Hermes International SCA has also had problems in China with its trademark, and in July Apple Inc agreed to pay $60 million to Proview Technology (Shenzhen) to end a protracted legal dispute over the iPad trademark in China.

    China has insisted it is serious about tackling intellectual property violations.

    (Reporting by Ben Blanchard; Editing by Andrew Osborn)

    Police say Afghan policewoman kills US adviser

    Police say Afghan policewoman kills US adviser

    KABUL, Afghanistan (AP) — An Afghan policewoman killed an American adviser at the Kabul police headquarters on Monday, a senior Afghan police official said.

    Kabul's Deputy Police Chief Mohammad Daoud Amin said it has not been determined whether the killing was intentional or accidental and that an investigation is under way. He declined to elaborate on the circumstances of the killing or give more details.

    It was also not known whether the victim was a U.S. military or civilian adviser. The NATO military command said it was looking into reports of the shooting but had no independent information.

    More than 50 international troops have been killed by Afghan soldiers or police this year, and a number of other assaults — insider attacks as they are known — are still under investigations. NATO forces, due to mostly withdraw from the country by 2014, have speeded up efforts to train and advise Afghan military and police units before the pullout.

    The surge in insider attacks is throwing doubt on the capability of the Afghan security forces to take over from international troops and has further undermined public support for the 11-year war in NATO countries.

    More than 50 Afghan members of the government's security forces also have died this year in attacks by their own colleagues. Taliban militants claim such attacks reflect a growing popular opposition to both foreign military presence and the Kabul government.

    Tale of lost military jacket prompts curiosity

    Tale of lost military jacket prompts curiosity
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    RICHMOND, Va. (AP) — As soon as she read the news, Mary Helen Taft went straight from her computer to her closet, pulling out a gray jacket that, until that moment, she had thought was an elaborate costume.

    When the story of an 80-year-old military tunic found among Superstorm Sandy debris at the Jersey Shore made national headlines, she knew the item she had picked up on consignment about 20 years ago was no longer just a run-of-the-mill coat stashed in the back of her closet.

    After examining the worn-down label inside, Taft uncovered the jacket's own storied past.

    "I really had no idea what the history behind the jacket was, or that it may be meaningful or valuable to somebody," said Taft, 63, who lives outside Zimmerman, Minn. "Suddenly there was a face and a history of service and a human connection that is very real and it made me see the jacket with new eyes.

    "Isn't that what motivates us all — those heart-touching human connections and a sense of community?"

    The alumni association for the U.S. Military Academy at West Point has researched a handful of inquiries from people wanting to put a face with their second-hand finds since the story last month about the discovery of a 1930s jacket belonging to the late warrior Chester B. deGavre. The AP reported on a New Jersey woman who found the jacket among Sandy debris, tracked down its owner with the help of the storied military academy and reunited the jacket with deGavre's 98-year-old widow on Virginia's Eastern Shore.

    "Maybe they thought it was just a neat thing to have, but then it kind of got them thinking about the person behind the coat and who that person was," said Kim McDermott with the West Point Association of Graduates, who has searched alumni databases, yearbooks and memorial pages to help curious owners of the jackets, which have been used at the academy since 1816. "We're just wired for stories, as humans."

    With its tails, intricate stitching, and slanted gold braids on the shoulders, the jacket hasn't changed much since it was first adopted and is still worn by cadets for formal occasions and in parades. The heavy coats, studded with brass buttons down the front and sleeves, have been issued to nearly 70,000 cadets over the years, so it's no wonder some have changed hands from their original owners.

    When people buy antique china, they often wonder how many tables it's been on or what conversations took place around it. But with everyday apparel, "I don't think anyone really thinks much about it," said Adele Meyer, executive director of the Association of Resale Professionals, which represents more than 1,100 consignment and thrift stores.

    "A military jacket — that's different. That has a history to it," Meyer said.

    Taft has learned that the coat hanging in her closet for so many years belonged to Joseph Francis Albano, a 1971 graduate and football standout from New Jersey known as "the Jersey Streak."

    After graduation, Albano was commissioned as a 2nd lieutenant in the Army and served five years of active duty at Fort Benning in Georgia; in Germany; and at West Point in the athletic department. Following years in the finance business, the 64-year-old now splits his time between Florida and Wyoming.

    News of his jacket being found brought back a lot of fond memories for Albano of his time at the academy, which he said he admired for its rich history and tradition. Albano said he isn't sure how the jacket ever left his possession and invited Taft to contact him.

    For 43-year-old Michael McCoy of Baltimore, finding the name of the owner of the jacket he picked up in the mid-1990s at a Pennsylvania antique store for $100 is only the beginning.

    "It's an object that has meaning now," said McCoy, who has begun tracing the life of John Loren Goff, a 1920 graduate from New Jersey who was first assigned to the Army Coast Artillery Corps. Goff retired as a colonel from Fort Lewis, Wash., in 1953 after serving in World War II and as the base's inspector general. He died in 1985 at the age of 86.

    "It was neat because it was a West Point jacket ... but now it's a West Point jacket that's owned by this gentleman who had this military career."

    Two of the jackets are even appearing on stage in Connecticut for the Hartford City Ballet's inaugural performance of the holiday classic, "The Nutcracker."

    Dartanion Reed, the ballet's artistic director, said he acquired the coats from another theater troupe that had shut down.

    "I just thought they were a brilliant costume," Reed said. "We always say that people (in performing arts) add bells and whistles to things, but these actually have bells and whistles."

    Now that Reed knows the jackets belonged to 1943 graduate Frank Williams Jones Jr. and 1937 grad Harry Francis Van Leuven, he plans to preserve them and use them more often.

    "Historic preservation goes hand in hand with what we do in the performing arts every day," he said. "It's wonderful to learn where they come from."

    ___

    Michael Felberbaum can be reached at http://www.twitter.com/MLFelberbaum .

  • A huge collection of odd TV stuff needs a home

    A huge collection of odd TV stuff needs a home
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    LOS ANGELES (AP) — James Comisar is the first to acknowledge that more than a few have questioned his sanity for spending the better part of 25 years collecting everything from the costume George Reeves wore in the 1950s TV show "Superman" to the entire set of "The Tonight Show Starring Johnny Carson."

    Then there's the pointy Spock ears Leonard Nimoy wore on "Star Trek" and the guns Tony Soprano used to rub out a mob rival in an episode of "The Sopranos."

    "Along the way people thought I was nuts in general for wanting to conserve Keith Partridge's flared pants from 'The Partridge Family,'" the good-natured former TV writer says of the 1970s sitcom as he ambles through rows of costumes, props and what have you from the beginnings of television to the present day.

    "But they really thought I needed a psychological workup," Comisar, 48, adds with a smile, "when they learned I was having museum curators take care of these pieces."

    A museum is exactly where he wants to put all 10,000 of his TV memorabilia items, everything from the hairpiece Carl Reiner wore on the 1950s TV variety program "Your Show of Shows" to the gun and badge Kiefer Sutherland flashed on "24" a couple TV seasons ago.

    Finding one that could accommodate his collection, which fills two sprawling, temperature-controlled warehouses, however, has sometimes been as hard as acquiring the boots Larry Hagman used to stomp around in when he was J.R. on "Dallas." (The show's production company finally coughed up a pair after plenty of pleading and cajoling.)

    Comisar is one of many people who, after a lifetime of collecting, begin to realize that if they can't find a permanent home for their artifacts those objects could easily end up on the trash heap of history. Or, just as bad as far as he's concerned, in the hands of private collectors.

    "Some of the biggest bidders for Hollywood memorabilia right now reside in mainland China and Dubai, and our history could leave this country forever," says Comisar, who these days works as a broker and purchasing expert for memorabilia collectors.

    What began as a TV-obsessed kid's lark morphed into a full-fledged hobby when as a young man writing jokes for Howie Mandel and Joan Rivers, and punching up scripts for such producers as Norman Lear and Fred Silverman, Comisar began scouring studio back lots, looking for discarded stuff from the favorite shows of his childhood. From there it developed into a full-on obsession, dedicated to preserving the entire physical spectrum of television history.

    "After a couple years of collecting, it became clear to me," he says, "that it didn't much matter what TV shows James watched in the early 1970s but which shows were the most iconic. In that way, I had sort of a curator's perspective almost from the beginning."

    In the early days, collecting such stuff was easy for anyone with access to a studio back lot. Many items were simply thrown out or given away when shows ceased production. When studios did keep things they often rented them out for small fees, and if you lost or broke them you paid a small replacement fee. So Comisar began renting stuff right and left and promptly losing it, acquiring one of Herman Munster's jackets that way.

    These days almost everything has a price, although Comisar's reputation as a serious collector has led some people to give him their stuff.

    If he simply sold it all, he could probably retire as a millionaire several times over. Just last month someone paid $480,000 for a faded dress Judy Garland wore in the 1939 film "The Wizard of Oz." What might Annette Funicello's original Mickey Mouse Club jacket fetch?

    He won't even think about that.

    "I've spent 25 years now reuniting these pieces, and I would be so sick if some day they were just broken up and sold to the highest bidder," he says.

    He, and every other serious collector of cool but somewhat oddball stuff, face two major obstacles, say museum curators: Finding a museum or university with the space to take their treasures and persuading deep-pocketed individuals who might bankroll the endeavor that there's really any compelling reason to preserve something like Maxwell Smart's shoephone.

    "People hold television and popular culture so close to their hearts and embrace it so passionately," says Dwight Bowers, curator of entertainment collections for the Smithsonian's National Museum of American History, who calls Comisar's collection very impressive. "But they don't put it on the same platform as military history or political history."

    When the Smithsonian acquired Archie Bunker's chair from the seminal TV comedy "All in the Family," Bowers said, museum officials took plenty of flak from those offended that some sitcom prop was being placed down the hallway from the nation's presidential artifacts.

    The University of California, Santa Cruz, took similar heat when it accepted the Grateful Dead archives, 30 years of recordings, videos, papers, posters and other memorabilia gifted by the band, said university archivist Nicholas Meriwether.

    "What I always graciously say is that if you leave the art and the music aside for one moment, whatever you think of it, what you can say is they are still a huge part of understanding the story of the 1960s and of understanding the nation's counterculture," says Meriwether.

    Comisar sees his television collection serving the same purpose, tracing societal changes TV shows documented from the post-World War II years to the present.

    The Academy of Television Arts and Sciences Foundation looked into establishing such a museum some years back, and Comisar's collection came up at the time, said Karen Herman, curator of the foundation's Archive of American Television.

    Instead, the foundation settled on an online archive containing more than 3,000 hours of filmed oral history interviews with more than 700 people.

    While the archive doesn't have any of Mr. Spock's ears, anyone with a computer can view and listen to an oral history from Spock himself, the actor Leonard Nimoy.

    Comisar, meanwhile, believes he's finally found the right site for a museum, in Phoenix, where he's been lining up supporters. He estimates it will cost $35 million and several years to open the doors, but hopes to have a preview center in place by next year.

    Mo Stein, a prominent architect who heads the Phoenix Community Alliance and is working with him, says one of the next steps will be finding a proper space for the collection.

    But, really, why all the fuss over a place to save one of the suits Regis Philbin wore on "Who Wants to be a Millionaire"?

    "In Shakespeare's time, his work was considered pretty low art," Comisar responds.

    Oh, he'll admit that "Mike and Molly," the modern TV love story of a couple who fall for each other at Overeaters Anonymous, may never rank in the same category as "Romeo and Juliet."

    "But what about a show like 'Star Trek'?" he asks.

  • 3 charged in Indianapolis home blast due in court

    3 charged in Indianapolis home blast due in court
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    INDIANAPOLIS (AP) — Three people charged in a gas explosion that devastated an Indianapolis neighborhood, killing a couple, are set to appear before a judge.

    Homeowner Monserrate Shirley, her boyfriend Mark Leonard and his brother, Bob Leonard, face initial court appearances set for Monday morning.

    The three were arrested Friday on charges of murder, arson and other counts following the Nov. 10 blast that killed a couple living next to Shirley's home. The explosion destroyed Shirley's house and four others and damaged dozens more.

    Investigators say the three planned the explosion for an insurance payout. Court documents say Shirley was facing $63,000 in credit card debt and bankruptcy proceedings. Prosecutors say Mark Leonard recently lost $10,000 at a casino.

    An attorney for Shirley and Mark Leonard told The Associated Press they maintain innocence.

  • 2012年12月24日星期一

    Annual bird counts give scientists climate clues

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    In this Monday, Dec. 17, 2012 photo,…

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    MAD ISLAND, Texas (AP) — Armed with flashlights, recordings of bird calls, a small notebook and a stash of candy bars, scientist Rich Kostecke embarked on an annual 24-hour Christmastime count of birds along the Texas Gulf Coast. Yellow rail. Barn owl. Bittern. Crested Cara-Cara. Kostecke rattled off the names and scribbled them in his notebook.

    His data, along with that from more than 50 other volunteers spread out into six groups across the 7,000-acre Mad Island preserve, will be analyzed regionally and then added to a database with the results of more than 2,200 other bird counts going on from mid-December to Jan. 5 across the Western Hemisphere.

    The count began in 1900 as a National Audubon Society protest of holiday hunts that left piles of bird and animal carcasses littered across the country. It now helps scientists understand how birds react to short-term weather events and may provide clues as to how they will adapt as temperatures rise and climate changes.

    "Learning the changes of habit in drought could help us know what will happen as it gets warmer and drier," said Kostecke, a bird expert and associate director of conservation, research and planning at the Nature Conservancy in Texas.

    Scientists saw birds change their habits during last year's historic drought that parched most of Texas. Some birds that normally winter on the coast — such as endangered whooping cranes — arrived and immediately turned back when they couldn't find enough food. Other birds didn't even bother flying to the coast. Snowy owls, who sometimes migrate from the Arctic to Montana, suddenly showed up as far south as Texas.

    There has been some rain this year, but Texas still hasn't fully recovered from the drought and many areas remain unusually dry. Wetlands, a crucial bird habitat, have been damaged. Trees and brush are dead or brown. There are fewer flooded rice fields, prime foraging grounds for birds. And sandhill cranes, for the second winter in a row, are staying in Nebraska.

    An initial report on the 24-hour count that began midnight Monday and ended midnight Tuesday included 233 different species — a drop of 11 from last year when 244 were counted on Mad Island. While the area likely still has one of the United States' most diverse bird populations, the species that were missing raise questions.

    Where are the wild turkeys? Why were no black rails found? What about fox sparrows and the 13 other species that are commonly counted on the preserve? Where have they gone?

    "There are several possibilities," Kostecke surmised. "Conditions may be better in the east, like Louisiana. Some may still be north, because it's been mild, and they tend to follow the freeze line."

    With weather in the north still relatively warm, some birds might choose to stay put and conserve energy for the nesting season, Kostecke added.

    Similar changes in bird behavior could be seen this year in the Midwest and parts of the South, areas that have been gripped by a massive drought that covered two-thirds of the nation at its height. The drought's severity is unusual, but scientists warn that such weather could become more common with global warming. Birds — as well as other animals — will have to adapt, and the data collected in the Christmas count gives crucial insight on how they might do that.

    The dataset is notable for its size and the decades that it covers. Along with showing how birds adapt to climate change, it reveals the impact of environmental changes, such as habitat loss, which has contributed to a 40 percent decline in bird numbers during the past 40 years, said Gary Langham, vice president and chief scientist for the National Audubon Society.

    "We've converted the landscape dramatically, and then you add climate change to the mix ... and the results are more alarming," Langham said.

    Scientists have used the data to predict bird populations and behavior in 2020, 2050 and 2080. They also could use it to advance conservation work or calls for emergency action, he said.

    Birds, though, are only one part of an ecosystem. As they move from place to place, they encounter new predators and species that may be competing for the same food. Vegetation also is changing as the Earth warms and some areas become more drought-prone. What happens as all these changes take place?

    "It's the million dollar question. When you have that kind of ecological disruption, no one knows what happens," Langham said. "There are going to be winners and losers. There will be some that become more common, and some that will go extinct."

    The survivors are the big unknown.

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    Plushnick-Masti can be followed on Twitter at https://twitter.com/RamitMastiAP